Paris, 2022
September 19, 2022Every time I travel outside of the US I am reminded of how much I love being immersed in other cultures. The art, the history, the food, the wine… it was amazing. We’ll likely be back soon. Continue reading...
Every time I travel outside of the US I am reminded of how much I love being immersed in other cultures. The art, the history, the food, the wine… it was amazing. We’ll likely be back soon. Continue reading...
Earlier this year I got to travel to New York to speak at KGC’22 and present some of the knowledge graph work we’ve been doing at Vouch to understand the startup ecosystem. Continue reading...
Most acquisitions are noise. If the problem is specific acquisitions, then how do you know ex-ante which ones will matter? If it’s all of them, then how do you incentivize entrepreneurs to start companies while blocking exits? It’s very easy to look at acquisitions after the fact and connect the dots, but creating a coherent set of rules or ideas to define which deals can and can’t go through seems nearly impossible. As usual, it’d turn into a game of picking favorites.
A post that unironically discusses “Railroads across the Metaverse” and… I agreed with it?
LA County, has at least 200k informal units. “That’s more than than the entire housing stock of Minneapolis.”
“On a combined basis, Tether dominates stablecoin trading volume: its Q2 daily average ($127.3 billion) exceeds the latest 10-day moving average of trading on the NYSE ($71 billion) and approaches the volume on NASDAQ ($148 billion).”
Too big to ignore, but almost a year after this was written and a couple of crashes later there’s still no regulation
You know how when you’re walking around a big city your GPS is all over the place, but somehow you can still get where you want to go? Here’s the math behind that.
I love San Francisco, but I hate that it’s the bureaucracy center of the world.
“…people are going to work for themselves and/or going into small businesses that are not part of the employer survey. Maybe what we are witnessing is not the Great Resignation but the Great Formation.”
Money is made up. A good thread on the various grocery items that hold their value bettern than pesos, and how Argentinians use them for their savings.
It’s pretty amazing how most people don’t realize that deposits in a savings account make them creditors to their banks.
A nice open source project on how to design hexagonal mirror arrays angled to print out specific messages.
In city after city, the mass-market, working-class housing of its time has acquired a distinctly bourgeois reputation today. In all cases, the reason lies in economics, not design […] what’s scarce becomes culturally coded as elite.
“… without solving the ownership problem, the question of ‘who is responsible for this’ is still a shrug at scale.”
Data problems, like all others in engineering, are about people not communicating the right info at the right time.
I don’t know enough chess nor go to fully enjoy these analogies, but there’s something intriguing in the broader strategy at play here. I’m certainly happier that Cloudflare’s competition is pushing AWS prices down!
“…that people could have both labor and property incomes (even if the rich still depend mostly on property incomes), is not envisaged by either Ricardo or Marx”
I’d expect to see more theory here, who’s writing it?
On how we lack true patronage in the modern world. While it’s somewhat meandering I find it quite compelling.
Is geography destiny?
an interesting read, but I’m not sure if it said anything, or if it was just a few thousand words of waving his hands.
Mundell’s Nobel Prize speech from 1999 is hilariously optimistic, looking through the tinted glasses of American exceptionalism.
A short documentary about The Roxie movie theater reopening in San Francisco after being closed for over a year due to COVID.
One of the many cool data visualizations that came out of the 2020 census data drop.
I’m still planning to finish reading Capital, and have Smith’s books on my to-read list, too.
What books we should expect our politicians to read, if any? Which ones would help them be better at their jobs?
“At the end of the day, the Internet and the World Wide Web–it’s just us. It’s just a history of humankind. And it has been an experiment in sharing and openness.”
Imagine if, in middle age, I felt entitled to pass laws so I could keep doing that into my 70s and 80s, no matter how many kids never got a turn. That is the anti-growth Californian, mistaking nostalgia for justice.
Globalization, specialization, and the internet all drive us to interactions in which we have to do extra work to talk to each other in the same terms. Increasingly, we live in a low context world.
Wilkinson on Mundell. Many problems are tied to how we delimit which rules apply to which people, but those boundaries are not just international borders.
“…why not fix the mistake of overconsumption by levying a yearly tax on the value of cryptocurrency holdings? Like a carbon tax, it would force mainstream users to internalize the costs of consuming decentralization.” The over-consumption of decentralization angle could also be an argument for side-chains, which are less decentralized that the full-on blockchain of BTC or ETH, but more decentralized than ExcelCoin.
Beautiful photographs. Really made me want to get on my bike and explore!
Value != Profits
I read this right after reading the bits of Cixin Liu’s Death’s End that cover the Earth Civilization Museum, which made for a good perspective.
This resonated a lot. Anecdotally, a few friends decided to move from SF to Europe, many are about to leave cushy jobs for side projects, others (like me) are leaving big tech for startups, and some are leaving startups just to travel. Odd times ahead.
I’ve made this argument for years now:
The US Dollar has a privileged position in the international finance, and is key to the US’s hegemonic power. It should not be taken for granted, especially when other nations are explicitly trying to undermine it.
On correlated effects which seem to be anti-correlated.
One of the few places where capitalism paradoxically goes against individualism is in the arts.
This animated explanation of how simple regression models work, using wine quality as a toy problem, was really good. Will definitely use this as an intro for beginners in the future!
An interesting idea regarding reallocating revenue streams. It seems like a modern version of “tax-farming,” but I don’t have any critiques at first blush.
Email magic links are a great idea, until they are not. The future is 2FA and multi-sig.
A mindblowing Game of Life project. Here I was, thinking my own @tweetgameoflife was a cool project.
At some point in the past, I was super interested in grid operations and clean tech. This piece of news would have sent 19 year old me down a geopolitics and energy rabbit hole.
The fact that ideas are not owned by any one person and that they’re not priced makes it hard for us to think of them as capital, but a large portion of capital creation comes from intangibles becoming part of the zeitgeist.
You need to be able to answer the “what have I done for our users today” question with “not much but I got promoted” and be happy with that answer to be successful in Corp-Tech. I guess that’s just not me.
The followup from Hunter Walk on “Why There’s No Such Thing as a ‘Startup Within a Big Company’” was also great.
This Revive & Restore project is fascinating. It is widely considered to be “a bad thing” when humans mess with the environment enough that we destroy a species and make it go extinct. Is it also bad when we mess enough with it to bring one back, too? Raises interesting questions on how we think of balancing between what is natural and what is man-made. When we intervene to counterbalance previous humans’ actions, how far can we go before we’re intervening ourselves?
This piece by highlights the new equilibrium brought about by the financial incentives of journalism on the internet. Let’s get rid of nuance. Whose absolute truth do you believe in? It pairs nicely with this from Ben Smith, which highlights the same generational divide.
“…the narrative of a pipeline of fascist ideas from Rationalist blogs to the minds of the powerful people building the future is certainly a juicy one, but it just doesn’t have much evidence to back it up”
1973: “At a local zoning hearing you might find on one side an elderly dowager who’s voted straight Republican since McKinley and her granddaughter from a commune where they live on nuts and berries. Both are seeking to stop new development.” 2021: Same
It’s pretty crazy how much every other country depends on the US’s blessing to operate in international trade, and how much of a say the US has over other countries’ monetary policy.
A discussion of Roger Scruton’s book on home and nations, Where We Are: The State of Britain Now. Lots of interesting questions on personal identity and the ultimate questions of us vs. them that plague our society.
I don’t know about you, but I love coffee. The mere possibility of it disappearing from my life sounds awful, so I’m glad that Maricel is working on Compound Foods.
The rumors of SF’s death were greatly exaggerated.
Cold War and underwater sounds. What else do you need?
Finding loopholes and (literal) boundary conditions in the tax code is how most people hide what they owe the government. Please simplify it, thx.
On the virtues and problems of markets as a solution to many of our woes.
What is the point of education, and what do we lose by turning our university system into industrial training grounds? There’s value in learning for the sake of learning.
After too long of a hiatus, I’m back posting links. Here’s a few highlights of what I read and listened to after my last links post of 2020. I’ll be sharing another couple of posts with links from 2021 and 2022 in the next few days.
This is a short story about mob mentality and the value (and harm) of tradition. The last few years I’ve been grappling more and more with the tension between tradition and change. The kernel of conservatism expressed by Chesterton’s fence seems extremely valid: “Do not remove a fence until you know why it was put up in the first place.” At the same time, if we never removed fences whose purpose we don’t truly understand, we’d live in a much worse world. Apparently, after the New Yorker published this story, they got more response letters than from any other work of fiction they had ever published.
On education, and the conflict between teaching people things that are true, or things that are useful. It reminded me in some ways of Donald Hoffman’s case against reality, and the idea that our brains learn a representation of the world that best allows us navigate the world and live in it, instead of optimizing for accuracy.
What does it even mean to regulate “technology,” when everything is permeated by it? On the contracting timelines of innovation, the complexity of an evolving (and mostly borderless) industry, and the political mechanisms of regulation trying to play catch up.
A simple 2x2 of conventional/independent-minded and passive/aggressive at the other axis. Not surprisingly, Graham has some strong thoughts: “…it seems to me that aggressively conventional-minded people are responsible for a disproportionate amount of the trouble in the world.” Also not surprisingly, I happen to agree.
This article was scary enough in 2020 when it came out. With a couple of years of hindsight, and having seen a lot of the news coming out of China during the pandemic I’m even more upset about China’s central role in our geopolitical future.
A short and sweet technical post. The title says it all, but Ned explicitly calls out his reasoning, too: “tests are real code. Coverage measurement can tell you useful things about that code.”
An awesome, albeit scary, set of visualizations of how climate change might affect different parts of the US and force people to move around in the next few decades.
I spent a good chunk of the found time of early pandemic days playing Civilization. This is a nice homage to the series, and why so many people have fallen in love with Sid Meier’s classic.
A short essay on the benefits of decentralization as ways to avoid collusion that leads to worse societal outcomes and the mechanisms that can enable it. As Vitalik clearly states “[…] markets can only solve some problems; in particular, they cannot tell us what variables we should be optimizing for in the first place,” but markets enable those core values to emerge from the actions that each of us takes. When markets don’t get us to what society at large “believes” to be the better outcome, it’s often because people’s stated beliefs don’t actually agree with their selfish goals, as revealed by their actions.
I’ve always found it interesting that startups run on equity instead of debt. Here, Danco lays out a good argument for why this is the case, and why he thought the model was about to flip on its head. He cites Carlota Perez’s Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital and argues that the relationship between production capital and financial capital (PK/FK) is well understood, and that we’re near the turning point where these two recouple. The pandemic got in the way, and the debt market still hasn’t matured in the direction he predicted, but it’s a reasonable theory nontheless. We’ll see whether we end up getting there.
This is a super complex topic, and I’d really love to learn more about debt financing. I’ve found a few good resources here, here, and here.
A short essay discussing the economics of code quality, project management, and how amazing it is that we can ship any code that works.
In which the author dissects Martin Casado’s and Matt Bornstein’s blog post on ML businesses. I have thought hard about this, and I mostly agree that the moat is not the model, but the data. If you have novel datasets, you can do a lot of things that your competitors won’t be able to, and that flywheel spins fast.
Merely being good at something is not enough. You have to understand how a field has evolved in order to know where it’s going.
The average USian lives a much better life than they did in the 50s, but our expectations of what a good life is have also shifted since then.
For me, the most fascinating topic in economics has always been the non linearity of panics. This is a good starting point, without any math.
It’s pretty sad to read this two years later and seeing that the “state capacity” narrative was exactly right.
On debasement as a strategy to counteract Gresham’s Law and defend the value of medieval currency
Come up with stupid rules, and people will figure out ways to route around them.
…it is short‐sighted and potentially counterproductive to promote a particular policy package such as MMT because you can use it to finance projects that you like, because someone else might use it to finance projects that you do not like
“Locked down, viewing the world through our screens, there is no longer any distinction between human rights and digital rights.” Additionally, a good follow on from Matt Clancy.
A good analogy on secular liberalism.
I love reading about historical parallels like this one on 1800s fintech.
It’s strange how used we are to looking at the Earth’s map, and the conventional colors of green/blue to represent land and sea. I don’t even know where to begin here!
The idea that “reasonable people can disagree, and that’s ok” was key to Rawls’ philosophy. It’s a core tenet of real liberalism.
This cultural difference between FB and Apple (which, yes, conveniently aligns with just one of the companies’ business models) is one of the things that kept me working at Apple. Privacy matters. I’m glad someone’s standing up for it.
History matters. Tech’s prominence in SF is new. Sean’s thread is 👌 The center of gravity shifted in the last 10 years. Some of it due to policy, some due to tech itself changing (AWS, anyone?) and some, because people’s priorities change (see Richard Florida’s creative class). FWIW, the narrative about the SF vs SV divide isn’t new. This was in the NYT back in 2014, before I came to SF.
This might be the only pandemic related closure in SF that I’m truly sad about. I’ll miss Mission cheese.
Vanguard released a fascinating report on how their customers invested over the last 5 years. The average Vanguard customer has 20%+ in cash. 20% of their customers hold no equities (!) and the median portfolio is a household of 1 holding ~$60k.
Our modern society is built on top of what, for most people, are invisible building blocks. When technology works so well that average Joe doesn’t even think about it, it’s easy to take that technology for granted.
I love this idea, thinking of society as a boat being rebuilt at open sea, which I first heard from Martin Hägglund: “Who I can be—how my boat is built—depends on socially shared norms, which I am bound to uphold, challenge, or transform through what I do.”
Often, we write code to scratch our itches, not knowing that our code will be turned on its head as the building block for someone else’s solution to a problem we didn’t know existed. Good design is about foreseeing those situations.
Modern society, in part because of secularism, no longer has an objective morality to point to, so instead we point to the law, not even questioning that it could be flawed.
A critique of the institutions that define the North star for most advanced economic research. True of academia, and it’s hyper-specialization, but also of international political entities and their quest for growth. “Good answers are often crucially important, but sometimes the best questions can’t be answered. And, we learn something from our attempts to answer them or to narrow what possible answers there are, even if we don’t come up with definitive answers.”
A great conversation on who we are versus who we would like to become. Most modern microeconomics is based on the idea of utility functions, a tool to abstractly measure happiness or satisfaction and make people’s preferences comparable to each other. What is generally never discussed is that not only do people have a utility function of their own, but they also have a second order utility function - desires about their desires.
A conversation about learning for the sake of learning, and understanding the world and human experience through great works of literature, philosophy, and history. I had the opportunity to participate in one of Zena’s workshops with the Catherine Project earlier this year, and I couldn’t recommend this mode of thinking enough.
One of the curious things about shooting film is that it’s warped the way I think about time and place. Continue reading...